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The amazing power of money
sent home
By Nick Louth
March 2008
Migration is a big issue,
the world over.
People have strong views
about whether it is good or bad for the host nation. For most
migrants going abroad for a better life means the chance to earn
more. However, perhaps the most overlooked aspect of the whole
business is just how good migration is for those left behind
back home.
It has been known for years
that most economic migrants send money home. But a recent study
by the United Nations Agriculture Fund shows that these
remittances, as they are called, are far more important than was
ever thought.
Providing for your nearest
and dearest, it turns out, is not just something that bonds
families. It helps to lift poor nations up and strengthens the
entire global economy.
In 2006, this study shows,
the world’s 150m migrants sent home $300bn, about $2,000 each on
average. That is three times the $104bn total of international
aid. It is even double the $167bn of foreign direct investment
in emerging market economies, the money flow which have long
been presumed to be a key wealth driver for the developing
world.
Changing the world, a
buck at a time
The largest recipients of
these money flows were in Asia, with $114bn, Latin America and
the Caribbean with $68bn, and eastern Europe with $55bn. Among
individual countries, India received $24.5 billion, followed by
Mexico with $24.2bn, China $21bn, the Philippines $14.6bn, and
Russia $13.7bn.
What this means is that the
dollars wired home in tens and twenties via MoneyGram or Western
Union by Mexicans in America, the cash sent home by Poles
driving buses or working behind bars in Britain, and the savings
earned by Bangladeshi and Filipino employees from the oil-binge
Gulf economies really amount to a huge sum.
Not only that, they are more
vital than the headline-grabbing big chunks of cash invested by
foreign companies looking for new markets or offshoring existing
operations.
More dollars, and better
dollars
This isn’t just about the
size of the flow, but the fact that it is better directed. The
route that the money takes within families, direct from
foreign-based earner to local consumer means that it has, dollar
for dollar, a greater benefit for the receiving economies.
The comparison with aid is
instructive. Most aid, 58% according to the OECD, is still tied
to export purchases from the donor country, so the recipient
gets not what it needs but what the donor wants to give.
Almost all passes through
official channels. It has a bureaucratic cost to administer and
allocate in the donor country. Then in the recipient nation the
really big problems begin. Corrupt officials, bureaucratic
delays, and poor value prestige projects all take the edge off
the economic effectiveness of that aid money.
Remittances are better
than aid
By contrast, money remitted
home by migrant workers is highly effective because it goes
straight to the families who need it. Aid by comparison is akin
to air-dropping pallet loads of cash from high altitude. Some is
lost, some is damaged, and most gets into just a few, often
undeserving, hands.
A landmark study in the
Philippines during the emerging market currency crisis in 1998/9
showed just how importance remittances were to that country.
When the Philippine peso, along with many other Asian
currencies, dropped in value the value of remittances in strong
currencies was worth more in the local economy.
The study watched what
happened to this one-off 25% boost in the value of transfers. On
average, it added 6% to the household income. Education spending
by the family rose from 5.4% of household income to 6.1%. It
boosted the chances of its children completing school, and
improved the chances of other family members being able to
become self employed by providing capital. Not least, it raised
the chance of the family being able to afford a refrigerator,
car or TV.
Microfinance on the quiet
This reinforces the case,
eloquently made by microfinance pioneer Mohammad Yunis, for the
life-changing quality of small loans for small businesses in the
developing world. While Yunis’s Bangladesh-based Grameen Bank
has formalised the business of turning the poor into
entrepreneurs, money sent home from relatives overseas are
already a much bigger source of the same kind of capital.
This quiet micro-economic
inflow has huge implications. The Philippines has 11% of its
entire population working abroad, and 28% of those are in Saudi
Arabia. For a country with no oil of its own, remittances from
the Middle East will cushion the blow of higher oil import
prices. The same is true of Bangladesh.
In 1980 remittances by
migrants were officially recorded at $18.4bn, though they were
probably in reality double that. Still, the increase to $300bn
in a generation is nothing short of astonishing.
Less friction on
transfers
The value of money sent home
by immigrants will rise further so long as global growth stays
on track. The enlargement to the east of the EU, shortages of
some skilled professionals in western economies like Canada and
Australia, and the oil-fuelled expansion of the cash-rich but
labour-poor Gulf economies all contribute.
But another factor, easily
forgottten perhaps, is a continuing fall in transaction charges
as the money transfer business opens to competition. For
example, the Inter-American Development Bank calculates that
commission rates on wired money from the U.S. into Latin America
have fallen by two thirds in seven years.
As the IADB states that
commissions are currently around 5%, they must have been an
obscene 15% in 2000. How immigrant workers, slaving at minimum
wage in many cases, must have ground their teeth to pass $300 to
middleman in order to get $2,000 to their families. Even the
$100 now charged is a travesty.
The power of family ties
The power of money sent home
out of love and care makes for interesting conclusions. One, it
makes much more sense for emerging nations to educate their
populations to be ready for a world labour market than it does
to merely try to build skills to be competitive for goods
produced at home. Two, western countries overseas aid goals may
be met more easily by circulating in foreign workers, and
particularly by educating foreign students, than by direct
payments.
Third, it shows that today’s
sometimes reviled and misunderstood economic migrants are
perhaps the most efficient of all the forces of globalisation, a
demonstration that hard work, freely traded, can transform rich
and poor nations alike.
See books by Nick Louth
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